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Best Methods and Practices in Judgmental Forecasting
business world, such behavior is common: A 2003 survey of 240 U.S. corpora- tions found that only 11 percent ... estimate the probability that a randomly selected group of men has an average height over six feet, they ...- Authors: Alan Mills
- Date: Jul 2010
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Predictive Analytics & Futurism, December 2018, Issue 19
Possible Role of Convolutional Neural Networks in Mortality Risk Prediction By Holden Duncan 24 The Psychology ... Symposium Coordinator Ricky Trachtman, FSA, MAAA 2019 Life & Annuity Symposium Coordinator Anders Larson, ...- Authors: Society of Actuaries
- Date: Dec 2018
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Predictive Analytics
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What Actuaries Can Learn from Data Scientists
business understanding (e.g., post-level term mortality for life Insurance, or the implications of no-fault ... scientist with SCOR Global Life Americas. He has worked in predictive analytics for life insurance for several ...- Authors: Nicholas Hanewinckel
- Date: Aug 2021
- Competency: Relationship Management; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: FinTech & InsurTech; Predictive Analytics>Programming languages & tools; Predictive Analytics>Quality control & model governance
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Actuarial Statistics with R: Book Review
Actuarial Statistics with R: Book Review Reviewing a text covering multiple statistical modeling ... Asset Pricing Model;Generalized linear model;Mortality modeling;Predictive modeling;Stochastic models;Monte ...- Authors: Mary Campbell
- Date: Dec 2018
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Regression analysis; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Simulation; Predictive Analytics
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Predictive Analytics, April 2019, Issue 20
Symposium Coordinator Ricky Trachtman, FSA, MAAA 2019 Life & Annuity Symposium Coordinator Michael Niemerg ... regarding them center around the ethical issues. A survey by Massachusetts Institute of Technology researchers ...- Authors: Society of Actuaries
- Date: Jun 2019
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Predictive Analytics
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Modeling Extreme Events
risks), aberrations from the “normal” course of life, but we can improve our analysis by distinguishing ... floods (for property risk), a stock market crash (for life insurance) or an earthquake causing large numbers ...
- Authors: Robert Jason Reed (Jason)
- Date: Jun 2021
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Predictive Analytics>Modeling techniques
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SOA Launches Predictive Analytics Initiative
conducted a survey targeted to members of sections most likely to be involved in PA. The survey showed, ... areas of growing demand from employers followed by life insurers; • Employer familiarity with actuaries ...- Authors: Ian G Duncan
- Date: Dec 2015
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Predictive Analytics
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Why Consider a Delphi Study?
But unlike a roundtable discussion or a mere survey, the Delphi technique gathers responses from panelists ... Strategies in Technology for Business Acquisition by the Life Insurance Industry.” In three rounds of narrative ...- Authors: Ben Wolzenski
- Date: Apr 2018
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>General business skills
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Back to the Futurism
World of the Year 2000.” Among other things, that report predicted that, “Actuaries, still almost exclusively ... predictions were the improvement in mortality and growth of life insurance in force in the U.S.; the ...- Authors: Ben Wolzenski
- Date: Dec 2015
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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December 2019 issue of Predictive Analytics and Futurism
Symposium Coordinator Ricky Trachtman, FSA, MAAA 2019 Life & Annuity Symposium Coordinator Anders Larson, ... principal and director of product development in the Life Technology Solutions practice with Milliman. She ...- Authors: Society of Actuaries
- Date: Jan 2020
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter